Following heavy storms last week, Texoma can expect calm but warm conditions to continue through the weekend and into early next week. The National Weather Service is forecasting stable weather with little chance for rain of cold fronts in the foreseeable future.
“It is a pretty quiet weekend going into next week,” NWS Meteorologist Patricia Sanchez said Friday. “Even though we are keeping into the 80s there … it will be slightly warmer than normal for this time of year.”
Sanchez said daytime highs are expected to be in the mid 80s throughout the weekend and into the first half of the week, with nighttime lows dropping into the mid 60s. Current forecasts call for a warm up with temperatures rising into the upper 80s by around Thursday.
Sanchez said the forecast calls for temperatures to be about three to four degrees above normal for this year. She attributed this in part to a mid-level ridge over North Texas that is keeping the region from receiving any cold fronts or instability that could lead to storms.
Despite a dry forecast, Sanchez said that October typically is one of the wetter months of the year, with about an average of 4.7 inches of rain annually.
“We know that May into June is kind of like our wetter months … now in the fall we are starting to get cold fronts and systems from the north interacting with warmth from the south,” she said, describing October as one of the wetter months of the year.
In its latest weekly water report, the Texas Water Development Board listed Grayson County as drought free despite growing dry conditions across the state.
“The latest drought map for conditions as of September 16 shows the largest one-week increase in the area of the state impacted by drought since April 2025,” Hydrologist Mark Wentzel said in the latest report. “In the last week, drought expanded in Central and South Texas and a new pocket of drought developed near San Angelo.”
In looking at long-range forecasts, Wentzel said Texoma, along with much of the state, could see drought conditions by the end of the year.
“The latest seasonal outlook for conditions through the end of December anticipates drought expansion across all of Texas except the northern tip of the Panhandle,” he said. “La Niña conditions are expected to develop and contribute to a warmer and drier than normal fall and winter across the southern U.S.”
