The National Weather Service said the scattered showers and storms that have visited Texoma in recent days will likely last into the weekend and the beginning of next week.
NWS Meteorologist Lee Carlaw, of the agency’s Fort Worth field office, said a south moving front will create a 20-30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms on Friday and Saturday before increasing to 50-60 percent on Sunday and Monday.
“For, the start of the weekend, Friday and Saturday, it looks like the area of upper low pressure is going to start to develop off to the west and that could potentially pump additional moisture into the air, specifically on Sunday and into Monday and will likely mean more precipitation and possible storm activity,” Carlaw said.
Ahead of the weekend, the National Weather Service has issued a Hazardous Weather Outlook notice for more than 40 Texas counties, including Grayson, Fannin, Cooke and many other counties throughout North Texas. Carlaw said despite a relatively low likelihood of strong storms in Texoma this weekend, the threat of thunderstorms, cloud-to-ground lightning and gusty winds will keep the notice in place.
“The severe weather risk looks fairly low at this point — that’s damaging winds of 60 mph or greater, hail that’s a quarter inch or larger,” Carlaw said. “But any of the more robust or stronger updrafts will certainly be capable of producing 40 mph winds gusts, which aren’t out of the question.”
Carlaw said the prevailing weather pattern which arrived in Texoma this week has also helped knock daytime temperatures down as much as 10 degrees below normal.
“That’s probably going to stay true for the next couple of days,” Carlaw said. “We may warm up a little bit into the low 90s on Friday, but by Saturday and Sunday, with this additional moisture, temperatures may have a hard time getting out of the 80s up there around the Red River.”
Though Texoma residents can look forward to cooler temperatures and some sunshine this weekend, Carlaw said anyone who plans to be outside should check the forecast before heading out and be sure to monitor weather conditions.
“If you’ve got any outdoor activities planned, keep an eye on the sky,” Carlaw said. “And live by that old conventional wisdom that if you do hear thunder, lighting could be close enough to strike you. If you find yourself in that position, take your precautions and get inside a sturdy structure.”
Rains are expected to remain in the area until Monday or Tuesday, but Carlaw said the expected precipitation totals will not be enough to break the ongoing drought conditions affecting the region.
“With how pervasive the drought is, you really need a continued stretch of light to moderate rainfall that goes on for days and even several weeks,” Carlaw said. “Unfortunately, it doesn’t look like this is going to be that pattern for us.”